{"id":4568,"date":"2021-02-11T07:43:58","date_gmt":"2021-02-11T07:43:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/allasorias.hu\/hirek\/?p=4568"},"modified":"2021-02-11T07:43:58","modified_gmt":"2021-02-11T07:43:58","slug":"ket-evig-meg-tobb-vallalat-juthat-csodbe","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/allasorias.hu\/hirek\/ket-evig-meg-tobb-vallalat-juthat-csodbe\/","title":{"rendered":"K\u00e9t \u00e9vig m\u00e9g t\u00f6bb v\u00e1llalat juthat cs\u0151dbe"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>2020-ban minden huszadik \u00f3r\u00e1ban jelentett be valamilyen nagyv\u00e1llalat fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9get glob\u00e1lis szinten. B\u00e1r a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l gyorsabb vakcinafejleszt\u00e9s hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra gyorsabb lesz vil\u00e1gszerte a gazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1bal\u00e1s, de id\u00e9n \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151re is emelkedhet a v\u00e1llalati fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9gi elj\u00e1r\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma \u2013 \u00f6sszegezte az Euler Hermes. A hitelbiztos\u00edt\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a \u201ekoronazombik\u201d, vagyis azok a c\u00e9gek, amelyeket felsz\u00ednen tartottak a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny hat\u00e1s\u00e1t ellens\u00falyoz\u00f3 korm\u00e1nyzati int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek, 2021 m\u00e1sodik fel\u00e9t\u0151l nagy sz\u00e1mban fognak cs\u0151d\u00f6t jelenteni.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A negat\u00edv trend 2022-ig folytat\u00f3dik, amikor 27 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal t\u00f6bb v\u00e1llalat juthat cs\u0151dbe, mint a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny el\u0151tt. Magyarorsz\u00e1g e tekintetben a jobban teljes\u00edt\u0151 orsz\u00e1gok k\u00f6z\u00f6tt lesz. A magyarorsz\u00e1gi SSC-k 71 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9ka tervezi, hogy \u00faj szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1st vezet be a k\u00f6vetkez\u0151 egy \u00e9vben. A j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny m\u00e1sodik hull\u00e1ma idej\u00e9n a korm\u00e1nyok j\u00f3val c\u00e9lzottabb korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sokat vezettek be, melyek csak bizonyos szektorokat \u00e9rintettek, mint p\u00e9ld\u00e1ul a turizmust, vend\u00e9gl\u00e1t\u00e1st, k\u00f6zleked\u00e9st. Ugyanakkor a k\u00e9sedelmes fizet\u00e9sek, a rossz ad\u00f3ss\u00e1g\u00e1llom\u00e1ny n\u00f6veked\u00e9se \u00e9s a cashflow probl\u00e9m\u00e1k minden\u00fctt \u00e9rz\u00e9kelhet\u0151ek \u2013 szektort\u00f3l \u00e9s v\u00e1llalatm\u00e9rett\u0151l f\u00fcggetlen\u00fcl. Tov\u00e1bbi gondot okoz a domin\u00f3hat\u00e1s: ak\u00e1r egyetlen v\u00e1llalat k\u00e9sedelmes fizet\u00e9s\u00e9nek hat\u00e1sa is gyorsan v\u00e9gigvonul a teljes \u00e9rt\u00e9kl\u00e1ncon, mag\u00e1val r\u00e1ntva a besz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3kat is. A helyzet komolys\u00e1g\u00e1t jelzi, hogy 2020-ban minden huszadik \u00f3r\u00e1ban jelentett be valamilyen nagyv\u00e1llalat fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9get glob\u00e1lis szinten \u2013 emelte ki a kutat\u00e1sb\u00f3l Mer\u00e9sz Istv\u00e1n, az Euler Hermes orsz\u00e1gigazgat\u00f3ja. A korm\u00e1nyok felismert\u00e9k a v\u00e1llalati fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9gb\u0151l sz\u00e1rmaz\u00f3 kock\u00e1zatot \u00e9s k\u00fcl\u00f6nb\u00f6z\u0151 int\u00e9zked\u00e9seket vezettek be: ad\u00f3fizet\u00e9si halaszt\u00e1st, ad\u00f3cs\u00f6kkent\u00e9st, ad\u00f3visszat\u00e9r\u00edt\u00e9st, valamint \u00e1llami garanci\u00e1t, kedvezm\u00e9nyes \u00e1llami hiteleket vagy ad\u00f3ss\u00e1gmorat\u00f3riumot. \u00c1m ezen int\u00e9zked\u00e9sek ellen\u00e9re 2021 neh\u00e9z \u00e9vnek \u00edg\u00e9rkezik. A t\u00e1rsas\u00e1g Glob\u00e1lis Inszolvencia Indexe szerint id\u00e9n 13 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, j\u00f6v\u0151re pedig 27 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal t\u00f6bb v\u00e1llalati fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9gi elj\u00e1r\u00e1s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3, mint 2019-ben. A v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l gyorsabb vakcinafejleszt\u00e9s hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra 2021 k\u00f6zep\u00e9re a vil\u00e1g lakoss\u00e1g\u00e1nak \u2013 azon bel\u00fcl a legvesz\u00e9lyeztetettebb csoportok \u2013 \u00e1toltotts\u00e1ga el\u00e9rheti azt a szintet, amely ut\u00e1n a gazdas\u00e1gi \u00e9let gyors normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3d\u00e1s\u00e1val lehet sz\u00e1molni. Emiatt a hitelbiztos\u00edt\u00f3 felfel\u00e9 m\u00f3dos\u00edtotta glob\u00e1lis GDP el\u0151rejelz\u00e9s\u00e9t: 2021-ben 4,6 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k, 2022-ben 3,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9k n\u00f6veked\u00e9s v\u00e1rhat\u00f3. Ennek felt\u00e9tele azonban, hogy ne jelenjen meg olyan v\u00edrusmut\u00e1ci\u00f3, amely \u00fajabb korl\u00e1toz\u00e1sokat, lez\u00e1r\u00e1sokat k\u00e9nyszer\u00edt ki a korm\u00e1nyokt\u00f3l \u2013 tette hozz\u00e1 Mer\u00e9sz Istv\u00e1n. A v\u00e1rakoz\u00e1saik szerint a vil\u00e1gkereskedelem volumene 2021-ben m\u00e1r 5,8 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal, 2022-ben pedig tov\u00e1bbi 5 sz\u00e1zal\u00e9kkal n\u0151het. Van, ahol 2023-ig kell v\u00e1rni a kil\u00e1bal\u00e1sra.Az egyes gazdas\u00e1gi szektorok k\u00f6z\u00fcl a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny szinte \u00e9rintetlen\u00fcl hagyta az \u00e9lelmiszer-kiskereskedelmet, a gy\u00f3gyszeripart \u00e9s az agr\u00e1rszektoron bel\u00fcl az \u00e9lelmiszertermel\u00e9st. A visszaes\u00e9st elszenved\u0151 ipar\u00e1gak k\u00f6z\u00fcl leggyorsabban az inform\u00e1ci\u00f3technol\u00f3gia, a vegyipar, a g\u00e9pgy\u00e1rt\u00e1s \u00e9s az \u00e9p\u00edt\u0151ipar \u00e1ll helyre legkor\u00e1bban, m\u00e1r 2021 els\u0151 fel\u00e9ben. \u00c9v v\u00e9g\u00e9ig a mez\u0151gazdas\u00e1g, az elektronikai ipar, a telekom szektor \u00e9s a vas\u00fati sz\u00e1ll\u00edtm\u00e1nyoz\u00e1s teljes\u00edtm\u00e9nye t\u00e9r vissza a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny el\u0151tti szintre. A Magyarorsz\u00e1g sz\u00e1m\u00e1ra legfontosabb turizmus \u00e9s vend\u00e9gl\u00e1t\u00e1s, illetve az aut\u00f3gy\u00e1rt\u00e1s \u00e9s az aut\u00f3ipari besz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00f3i szektorok helyzete majd csak 2022-ben normaliz\u00e1l\u00f3dik. A progn\u00f3zis szerint leglassabban a nem-\u00e9lelmiszer kiskereskedelem, a l\u00e9gik\u00f6zleked\u00e9s \u00e9s a rep\u00fcl\u0151g\u00e9pgy\u00e1rt\u00e1s ker\u00fcl ki a v\u00e1ls\u00e1gb\u00f3l, 2023-ra.<\/p>\n<p>Forr\u00e1s: 24.hu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2020-ban minden huszadik \u00f3r\u00e1ban jelentett be valamilyen nagyv\u00e1llalat fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9get glob\u00e1lis szinten. B\u00e1r a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l gyorsabb vakcinafejleszt\u00e9s hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra gyorsabb lesz vil\u00e1gszerte a gazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1bal\u00e1s, de id\u00e9n \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151re is emelkedhet a v\u00e1llalati fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9gi elj\u00e1r\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma \u2013 \u00f6sszegezte az Euler Hermes. A hitelbiztos\u00edt\u00f3 el\u0151rejelz\u00e9se szerint a \u201ekoronazombik\u201d, vagyis azok a c\u00e9gek, amelyeket felsz\u00ednen tartottak a j\u00e1rv\u00e1ny hat\u00e1s\u00e1t [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4569,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[198],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gazdasag"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.0.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"2020-ban minden huszadik \u00f3r\u00e1ban jelentett be valamilyen nagyv\u00e1llalat fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9get glob\u00e1lis szinten. B\u00e1r a v\u00e1rtn\u00e1l gyorsabb vakcinafejleszt\u00e9s hat\u00e1s\u00e1ra gyorsabb lesz vil\u00e1gszerte a gazdas\u00e1gi kil\u00e1bal\u00e1s, de id\u00e9n \u00e9s j\u00f6v\u0151re is emelkedhet a v\u00e1llalati fizet\u00e9sk\u00e9ptelens\u00e9gi elj\u00e1r\u00e1sok sz\u00e1ma \u2013 \u00f6sszegezte az Euler Hermes. 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